Buffalo (-2.5) is also a less popular pick than the Dolphins (48% pick popularity vs. The Giants aren’t the only value favorite coming at an underdog price with the public in Week 4. The G-Men obviously aren't a huge favorite and this game is very close to a toss-up, but the numbers are the numbers, and making leverage picks like this one is a key long-term strategy in pick'em pools. That means you can pick the Giants and go opposite a large chunk of your pool, while also being on the team more likely to win. Seattle is being picked by a whopping 71% of the public to win its Monday Night Football matchup with the New York Giants, but New York is actually the betting market favorite (-1.5). Week 4 gives us our biggest value pick opportunity on a betting odds favorite so far this season in game winner based pick'em contests. NFL Week 4 Pick’em Advice: Two Value Favorites Being Picked Like Underdogs NFL Survivor Picks | Football Pick'em Picksįree Trial Offer (Survivor, Pick'em, Betting) Check out their products at the links below, including a no-obligation free trial: Get Week 4 Pools Picks This article is a guest post from PoolGenius, whose customized pool picks and tools help subscribers win football pools more than three times as often as expected. Week 4 features several division showdowns, and below we highlight some of the week's smartest picks from a risk-vs.-reward perspective.ĭata in this article is current as of Wednesday, Sept. But there's a lot of football left to play, and if history is our guide, the public's hot opening run is bound to lose steam.

So far, the 2023 NFL season has been a relative bloodbath for contrarian value picks in survivor pools and pick'em contests.

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